Here by popular request — and I’ll define popular as a suggestion from reader Seahwawks92 — here is my annual mock NBA draft, admittedly hastily thrown together while the ninos are napping between beach stints.
As I look over the caliber of prospects going after the top 15 picks, makes me wonder where Clemson forward Trevor Booker would have gone had he declared for the draft. He’s a ‘tweener, to be sure — a interior player with a small forward’s height — but guys like that have a place in the league, too. I stand by my comparison to Clarence Weatherspoon, who carved a 12-year career with the same body (albeit no neck) and less explosion than Booker.
Perhaps Booker could have excelled in workouts and crept into the bottom half of the first round. But I think he made the right call in taking the safe bet and returning to school.
Onto the mock:
1. L.A. Clippers PF Blake Griffin, Oklahoma
With fine, upstanding vets such Zack Randolph and Ricky Davis showing Griffin the rookie ropes, how can he or the Clippers fail? The only question is with which team Griffin will be signing his lucrative second contract.
2. Memphis C Hasheem Thabeet, UConn
For someone believed likely to go in the top three, Thabeet sure has generated zero buzz. There aren’t many givens in this draft anyhow, but Thabeet qualifies as the most likely bust relative to his draft position. Yeah, he blocks shots when allowed to station under the basket. But he’s gonna become a liability the very first time he’s forced to play screen-and-roll defense. And that should occur by about the third possession of his first game. Ultimately, I wonder if a team isn’t going to trade to this spot to snag Rubio. But it wouldn’t stun me if the Grizzlies keep it and take Thabeet because GM Chris Wallace is among the league’s worst, and the team has a track record for ridiculous decisions.
3. Oklahoma City G Stephen Curry, Davidson
I’ve never viewed Curry as more than a 6th man combo guard because of his height and slight, wiry frame, but Curry has supposedly nixed concerns about his athleticism during workouts. No one has said a bad word about the guy throughout the evaluation process, which leads me to believe he’ll be value GM Sam Presti (a former Spurs guy) covets. Plus Curry matches well with Russell Westbrook in the backcourt.
There is lots of praise for Presti in this blog. But all the love goes out the window if reports are true that the Thunder will take Thabeet if available at No. 3.
4. Sacramento PG Ricky Rubio, Spain
Lord knows Rubio could simply be the European version to Jason Williams (the one who had a mediocre NBA career; not the Dukee who wrecked his career with a motorcycle crash). Except that Rubio can’t shoot a lick. But the 18-year-old is a phenomenal ball-handler and passer, and that in and of itself should breathe some life into this stale franchise.
5. Minnesota (from Washington) G Tyreke Evans, Memphis
Can’t blame the T’wolves for trading Randy Foye if only to shake up the roster. Although this roster needs a wrecking ball, not a simple jostling (how did picks such as Corey Brewer and Rashad McCants work out for ‘em?). But Evans does nothing for me. I agree with the comparison of Evans to Jerry Stackhouse (the older version, in my opinion). Evans is unselfish and gets the ball to the hole. But he plays below the rim and has always had success because he was bigger and stronger than folks his age. That won’t work at the pro level unless he adds some semblance of a shot.
6. Minnesota PG Jonny Flynn, Syracuse
Great leadership, superlative quickness. But what separates Flynn from Brevin Knight? Plus Syracuse guys have no idea how to play man defense. Think Flynn will have a 10-year career, but he’s better suited to come off the bench.
7. Golden State PF Jordan Hill, Arizona
Trevor Booker’s mom flew to New York for what might be Hill’s NBA eulogy. OK, banishment to my Warriors merely sets a big man back about five years, but 1) Don Nelson despises rookies; 2) the Warriors have stockpiled 4s in Anthony Randolph (who played sparingly last year) and Brandan Wright (Nelson doghouse resident), and; 3) Nelson doesn’t play bigs, opting to use thick guards such as 6-4 Kelenna Azibuike as his power forward half the time. At least the equivalent to Todd Fuller isn’t available here again. Sadly, it appears the Warriors think that trading for Atlanta reserves Acie Law and Speedy Claxton solves their point guard problems. Oy.
8. N.Y. Knicks G Jrue Holiday, UCLA
(Updated Wednesday night) OK, I had PG Brandon Jennings in this spot because Mike D’Antoni’s a sucker for anyone with ties to the European game. But Jennings has said he won’t be going to New York, and the Knicks will get their man: Stephen Curry. So you can probably take the first part to the bank, although we’ll have to see if N.Y. has the firepower to land Curry. I’ll bet it takes moving up to at least No. 5. (Some reports suggest the Thunder wants James Harden at No. 3). I’m not buying that Holiday is a mirror image of Russell Westbrook, whom Holiday followed at UCLA and likewise an athlete who would have to be transformed into a point.
9. Toronto SG James Harden, Arizona State
Most mocks have Harden as a top-five prospect. I think he slides for no other reason than how the top picks shake out. I think he SHOULD slide because you should be leery of any shooting guard who can’t shoot. But you can see why he’s been tagged with Oklahoma State at the No. 3 spot; Presti was around when the Spurs once groomed another lefty (Manu Ginobili) who could only drive left but always reached the rim, even though defenders needn’t honor his shot.
10. Milwaukee PG Brandon Jennings, Italy
The Bucks shamelessly traded their best player, Richard Jefferson, in their latest move to get rid of both payroll and talent. So they take the best remaining point guard on their board in case Myrtle Beach’s own Ramon Sessions bolts in free agency. This selection brought to you by the folks who coveted both Yi Jianlian and Joe Alexander as small forwards.
11. New Jersey Nets G/F Terrence Williams, Louisville
Williams is a point-forward whose skills far exceed his collegiate production on a consistent basis. That alone should be the red flag. But this cat is so nuts that he might be the only player in this draft who would thrive under my boy Nelly in Oakland. This from Sports Illustrated:
The last line of Williams’ pregame monologue is a request for all his dead relatives — his father, Edgar; his grandparents Mary Jackson and Bobby Perkins; and two cousins — to “watch over me as I have fun.” Their names are tattooed on his left arm and concealed by a compression sleeve that he says he wears to keep connected to them, spiritually. Williams may well be the only player to wear a sleeve solely for that reason, but he has always been sartorially idiosyncratic. He often wears custom-made photo T-shirts as tributes to teammates and coaches (his Pitino shirt has a shot of his coach playing point guard at UMass in the early ’70s), and he sometimes shows up for practice wearing two different-colored shoes. At Seattle’s Rainier Beach High he would wear socks emblazoned with childhood icons (from Barney to Big Bird to SpongeBob) during games and carry his books in a Barbie backpack, just to be different. He wore a rotation of Mitchell & Ness throwback basketball jerseys that were in vogue then, but he would add his own curious touch by printing a picture of the player from the Internet and Scotch-taping it over the number on the front.
12. Charlotte SG Gerald Henderson, Duke
I thought heck had frozen over when Charlotte was given another crack at an NBA franchise in the first place. But it became official when MJ and Larry Brown took a Duke player when a handful of Tar Heels were still available. Speaking of which … in retrospect, taking Sean May to improve ticket sales doesn’t appear to have worked out as planned. A reminder for all those looking at the hometown hero (see Memphis and Tyreke Evans).
13. Indiana PF DeJuan Blair, Pittsburgh
Blair can be a poor man’s Elton Brand if he hires Alton Brown and watches those pounds. Plus the Pacers can afford an undersized 4 when they’ve got rangy Danny Granger at the 3.
14. Phoenix PF Earl Clark, Louisville
When are teams going to learn not to hire former players as general managers? Especially white shooting guards (see the Suns’ Steve Kerr as well as Denver’s Rex Chapman, Boston’s Danny Ainge and Chicago’s Jim Paxson).
15. Detroit F Austin Daye, Gonzaga
Joe Dumars’ credibility has plummeted as fast as his roster grew old. Daye is little more than a workout warrior. Lotsa potential that doesn’t translate into helping his team win.
16. Chicago G DeMar DeRozan, USC
Gerald Green, anyone? I wouldn’t be surprised if Toronto took him, either. They will have owned the whole set of Vince Carter/T-Mac/G. Green/DeRozan types.
17. Philadelphia PG Ty Lawson, UNC
Lawson is one guy I can’t put my finger on as far as his pro potential, especially since he appears to have learned how to shoot. True, he fits best in Roy Williams’ up-tempo system (which the pros don’t use), but Lawson won’t be as uninspiring as Raymond Felton. I envision him being Jamaal Tinsley – with fewer moods swings, but just as fragile.
18. Minnesota C B.J. Mullens, Ohio State
If the Buckeyes didn’t trust Mullens enough to play him for most of their NCAA tournament loss, then I don’t trust he’ll amount to more than Josh McRoberts. Which is a splendid reason why Mullens and the T’wolves are perfect match.
19. Atlanta G Jeff Teague, Wake Forest
Your roster is already packed with guys who only show interest on the offensive end. Why not top it off with Teague, whom scouts compared to Devin Harris before the Demon Deacons mirrored his temperamental nature and caved in at the end of last season. That said, Teague has the offensive skills to make teams regret taking Jennings and Holiday in about two years. Worth the risk here, especially when you’re plagued by the memory of passing over PGs Chris Paul and Deron Williams in the past.
20. Utah F James Johnson, Wake Forest
The craftiness and versatility Johnson flashed at Wake Forest works both for and against him; scouts love the tools, but the guy has yet to show the drive to maximize those skills and take over games. If there’s a coach who can tap into that, it’s Jerry Sloan. Beyond Johnson, you just can’t escape the feeling the Jazz would be the ideal match for Tyler Hansbrough.
21. New Orleans F Sam Young, Pittsburgh
The Hornets cannot stockpile enough 3-point shooting wings.
22. Portland F Omri Casspi, Spain
(Updated Wednesday night). Portland swapped the No. 24 pick to move up two spots Wednesday night, and it’s presumed it did so to nab the guy I had going to Sacramento at No. 23: F Omri Casspi of Spain. The Trail Blazers don’t need any young’uns right now, so it will be interesting to see whether the European they invariably take in this spot comes overseas immediately or three years down the road. The book on Casspi: He’s another Andres Nocioni, although his cock-a-mayme shot is reminiscent of Shawn Marion’s shot-put.
23. Sacramento SF Jonas Jerebko, Spain
(Updated Wednesday night) So I simply move Portland’s pick from No. 24 up to Sacramento’s at No. 23. Because the Kings also want someone they can either stash overseas to avoid a second guaranteed rookie contract.
24. Dallas PG Eric Maynor, Virginia Commonwealth
(Updated Wednesday night) Dallas makes this trade because neither Sacramento nor Portland is going to touch the point guard I had them pegged for. If Maynor’s available, there is no better time to snatch the heir apparent for when Jason Kidd’s wheels finally fall off. Maynor isn’t flashy, but I love his game and think he’s probably the steal of the draft if he’s still around in the 20s.
25. Oklahoma City PF Tyler Hansbrough, UNC
Have I mentioned that I loathe/am jealous of the Spurs? The Thunder’s GM is an extension of them, and they (like the similarly despised New England Patriots) simply do an amazing job of assessing value. Of course, I’ll qualify that by saying I don’t think Kevin Durant possesses the all-around game to be a top-flight star and take his team deep into the NBA playoffs. Sure, Hansbrough will never be a star. But if you can find an effort guy late in the first round who can contribute in an eight-man rotation, you take him.
26. Chicago PF Derrick Brown, Xavier
See that last sentence. Expect Brown has athleticism to go with his motor. Should be a top-20 pick.
27. Memphis PF Jeff Pendergraph, Arizona State
Classic pick-and-pop guy with the makings of a lengthy career as a reserve. Which is more than I would say for the Grizzlies’ starting center, the amazingly overpaid Darko Milicic.
28. Minnesota F Nick Calathes, Florida/Greece
Few seem to realize Calathes has continued working out for teams despite signing with a team in Greece. There’s still a chance the team that drafts him could go ahead and pay the $500,000 buyout for his overseas contract now, although odds favor him going to Greece for at least one year. As an aside, there’s no way the T’wolves keep all four first-rounders, is there?
29. L.A. Lakers G/F Chase Budinger, Arizona
Standard Phil Jackson fare. A guy you could plug into any of the wing spots around Kobe and make work in the Triangle offense.
30. Cleveland G/F Danny Green, UNC
I could see the Cavs going for either Kentucky G Jodie Meeks (think Denver’s J.R. Smith, because Denver supposedly does with the fourth pick in the second round) or Missouri F DeMare Carroll (this year’s Ben Wallace wannabe). But I think Green would be an intriguing pick for them. He can play the 2 or the 3 offensively and defensively, and he’s gotta be a better offensive creator than Wally or Pavlovic.